In the first blog in this series, we covered the basics. A focal point of that piece was clarifying the real goal of a budget. It’s worth repeating:
Focusing on the purpose helps stakeholders gain clarity and provides context. It also gives them some tools to make tough decisions when needed.
The Past, the Present & the Future
The inability to predict the future is a common human weakness. We really stink at it. And yet, predicting the future is what budgeting is all about. While, we will never get it exactly right, we can hedge our bets with sound methodology.
This methodology will also help to avoid other all too human foibles. Ignoring the past is always a fantastic way to ensure disaster. Seeing past our biases to recognize current realities can also be a challenge.
Trend or Zero-Based? Both!
There are two basic budgeting methods – “trend” and “zero-based.” Trend budgeting uses the current year’s budget as a baseline and assumes an incremental increase each year thereafter. For example, if the landscape non-contract line item is $10,000 and the annual inflation assumption is 2%, the budget for the following year will be $10,200. Frequently, the same multiplier applies to all line items. There may be some variations from line item to line item in the actual expenses during the year. However, the hope is that the overall bottom line will come out about right. Do communities apply the same percentage to all line items?
Zero-based budgeting is far more robust. It is commonly utilized when drafting a budget for a community that has not been built yet. Those writing these budgets use all available information about the planned project. They attempt to visualize what it will take to operate the property when built. Finally, they proof each operating line item for accuracy against similar properties and industry knowledge. The reserve contribution line item is calculated by creating a reserve schedule, compiled using RS Means data and construction figures provided by the developer.
The best budgets for existing community associations use elements of both methods. Every single line item should be scrutinized and challenged with a fresh set of eyes each year. The analysis may result in some cost savings, or it may result in creating new line items to reflect expenses not previously required. At the same time, history and current conditions help predict the future, like it or not. Uncontrollable trends cannot be ignored. They must be reflected in the affected line items. Assembling the information necessary to analyze data from the past and seeing the present clearly will go a long way towards creating a viable plan for the future.
Why All the Work?
One benefit to this approach is that it helps to build trust. Members, who are reasonably concerned about how their money is spent, are more likely to recognize the scholarship woven into the process. The budget document will provide some level of comfort that money is not being spent needlessly. It isn’t something conjured up to make the numbers look good, or to achieve some political purpose. The figures represented in each line item mean something. They’ve been vetted thoroughly. They are grounded in reality and reason.
The discipline inherent in the methodology can also help to explain reality to homeowners. It is simply not realistic to imagine that HOA fees can remain flat when rising costs impact every other facet of life. Any architectural, mechanical, electrical, landscaping, or plumbing component becomes more expensive as it ages until it is finally replaced. I like to share an automotive analogy to help make it real. I can make a classic ’57 Chevy Belair my daily driver. But my running costs are going to be much higher than if I bought a brand new Honda Accord. If I fail to recognize that reality, I won’t have the money to keep the Chevy on the road.
What’s Next?
With the basics and methodology covered, we are ready to explore the components of a great association budget. That will be Part 3 of this series. Stay tuned!
